Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Bentley | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Thomas | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Bone | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Faris | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Cain | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. January | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Zellous | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Catchings | 27 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Howard | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter