Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Langhorne | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Bird | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| T. Wright | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Quinn | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Powell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Bass | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 18 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Murphy | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Bias | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter