Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -2 (76-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maggie Lucas | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 12-12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Paris * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 20 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Vicki Baugh | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Angel Goodrich | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter