Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -5 (89-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 38 | 11-20 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 19 | - |
| C. Dupree | 37 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 29 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Bass | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Phillips | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ogwumike | 35 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Toliver | 34 | 9-12 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| C. Parker | 33 | 11-20 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| A. Beard | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Harding | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Lavender | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Herrington | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Gruda | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter