Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 35 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Thomas | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 25 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Griffin | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Faris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 36 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 36 | 10-19 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 20 | - |
| G. Johnson | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Paris | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| R. Hodges | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Hooper | 19 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5 | - |
| V. Baugh | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter