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2014-07-05

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 โœ“ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Latta 35 4-9 1-4 3-5 2 5 0 0 2 12 8 -
K. Lawson 28 3-8 2-4 2-2 5 4 1 0 2 10 10 -
Emma Meesseman 27 8-11 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 18 12 -
B. Hartley 26 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Currie 22 1-8 0-1 3-4 5 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
Kia Vaughn 21 4-7 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 4 8 1 -
S. Dolson 19 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 8 5 -
Tianna Hawkins 13 4-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 33 9-13 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 18 14 -
Tiffany Hayes 32 6-15 0-6 4-7 3 5 2 1 0 16 12 -
E. de Souza 31 6-9 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 1 1 12 13 -
Angel McCoughtry 25 5-14 1-4 5-5 3 5 1 0 4 16 7 -
C. Dumerc 22 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 5 8 -
Jasmine Thomas 19 1-9 0-3 0-2 1 1 2 0 0 2 -3 -
S. Schimmel 19 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 11 8 -
A. Henry-Morello 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
S. Cash 9 1-3 0-0 0-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter