Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -13 (83-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 34 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 17 | - |
| C. Paris | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| G. Johnson | 27 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Hodges | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hooper | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Lacy | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| V. Baugh | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 34 | 6-15 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 32 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| A. Bentley | 29 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| K. Bone | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| A. Hightower | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter