Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| B. Hammon | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Adams | 18 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | - |
| S. Johnson | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Christon | 12 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Alexander | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 34 | 10-14 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| K. Bone | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Bentley | 27 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Thomas | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Hightower | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 13 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Faris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter