Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 11-11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| B. Griner | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| P. Taylor | 29 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Bass | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Phillips | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| E. Larkins | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| K. Thomas | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Zellous | 32 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| B. January | 30 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 21 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Lucas | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter