Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✗ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| B. Hammon | 28 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Perkins | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Adams | 21 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Johnson | 16 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Alexander | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Christon | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 38 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 33 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| A. Beard | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Harding | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| F. Abdi | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Gruda | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Morris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter