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Tulsa Shock 80
@
Phoenix Mercury 91
2014-06-20

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Shock Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 3.8% 96.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 9.0% 91.0% - ✓
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 ✓ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.2% 91.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 36 9-15 0-0 2-2 11 1 1 0 0 20 18 -
Odyssey Sims 34 3-13 0-2 3-4 3 1 1 1 0 9 2 -
C. Paris 31 7-15 0-0 1-1 15 1 0 1 1 15 16 -
Diggins-Smith 31 4-15 1-6 3-3 1 7 1 0 1 12 5 -
J. Hooper 22 3-9 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 7 2 -
J. Lacy 16 2-5 0-2 3-7 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
R. Hodges 16 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
V. Baugh 9 2-3 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 0 0 7 10 -
A. Goodrich 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree 35 4-12 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 1 2 12 7 -
DeWanna Bonner 32 3-4 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 1 0 7 12 -
B. Griner 32 12-15 0-0 4-4 4 1 2 6 3 28 23 -
Diana Taurasi 31 4-11 2-3 4-4 4 12 0 0 2 14 17 -
P. Taylor 30 6-9 2-3 5-7 5 3 0 0 1 19 17 -
E. Phillips 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Bass 13 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 8 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
S. Murphy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter