Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| O. Sims | 34 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Paris | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 31 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Hooper | 22 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Hodges | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| V. Baugh | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| E. Phillips | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Murphy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter