Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +21 (85-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 32 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Cruz | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 23 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| E. Carson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Jeffery | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| P. Pierson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. McKinney | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Young | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes | 32 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 25 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 25 | 8-19 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| E. de Souza | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Colhado | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Thompson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Cash | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter