Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 29 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Paris | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Hooper | 19 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Hodges | 16 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Lacy | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| V. Baugh | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jantel Lavender | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Candace Parker | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| A. Beard | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| L. Harding | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Herrington | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Gruda | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Morris | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| F. Abdi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter