Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +22 (89-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Briann January | 27 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Kizer | 22 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Zellous | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -7 | - |
| M. Coleman | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Lucas | 13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Thomas | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Carter | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 16 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| K. Bone | 21 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Bentley | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Griffin | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. McCray | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Faris | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Cain | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter