Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars +27 (101-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Herrington | 26 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Candace Parker | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| F. Abdi | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 7 | - |
| A. Beard | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Gruda | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Greene | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson | 31 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 24 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| B. Hammon | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - |
| J. Perkins | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| S. Johnson | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Christon | 17 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Adams | 14 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Alexander | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Butler | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter