Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +1 (96-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 11-12 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 31 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| E. Phillips | 24 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Bass | 16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 31 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| A. Bentley | 31 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Bone | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Hightower | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. McCray | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter