Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars -12 (79-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 44 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| B. Griner | 41 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 41 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 35 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Phillips | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson | 43 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 38 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Hammon | 35 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 31 | 3-17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4 | - |
| J. Perkins | 30 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D. Adams | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Alexander | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Christon | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter