Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 34 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Briann January | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Coleman | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lucas | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Kizer | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Carter | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 32 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Hightower | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Griffin | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Bone | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Bentley | 27 | 9-13 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| A. Thomas | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter