Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✗ (23.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock +16 (94-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 12-12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Dupree | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| E. Phillips | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Bass | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bias | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 35 | 8-21 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 32 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| G. Johnson | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| C. Paris | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 23 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Hodges | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Hooper | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. Baugh | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter