Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 26 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 22 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 16 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Thompson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Cash | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Colhado | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiney Ogwumike | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| K. Douglas | 29 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Bone | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| A. Hightower | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| A. Bentley | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 19 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Thomas | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Cain | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Faris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. McCray | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter