Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cruz | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tina Charles | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 19 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Carson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P. Pierson | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. McKinney | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Jeffery | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Young | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January | 36 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| E. Larkins | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Zellous | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 26 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 25 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| S. Carter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Lucas | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter