Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +22 (100-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 32 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 32 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 15 | - |
| G. Johnson | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Hodges | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Paris | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Hooper | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| O. Sims | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| V. Baugh | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Bass | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Dupree | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Murphy | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 16 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Bias | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter