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2014-05-30

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Langhorne * 33 9-10 0-0 3-8 11 1 4 0 1 21 26 -
Camille Smith * 30 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 9 2 -
Sue Bird * 30 1-8 0-2 1-2 1 4 0 0 3 3 -3 -
Tanisha Wright * 23 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 0 1 2 7 -
Alysha Clark * 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -
Temeka Johnson 24 5-11 3-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 4 13 3 -
Shekinna Stricklen 14 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
Nicole Powell 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Noelle Quinn 8 1-4 1-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Angel Robinson 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel McCoughtry * 34 8-20 1-5 1-1 4 8 2 0 6 18 6 -
Sancho Lyttle * 32 6-12 0-0 1-2 10 5 3 0 2 13 17 -
Tiffany Hayes * 31 6-9 2-2 6-7 5 3 1 0 0 20 20 -
Erika de Souza * 28 5-6 0-0 4-4 8 1 3 1 1 14 20 -
Jasmine Thomas * 28 3-7 0-2 5-6 1 1 0 0 0 11 6 -
Shoni Schimmel 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
Amanda Thompson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
Aneika Morello 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Matee Ajavon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Swin Cash 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter