Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 31 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| A. Hightower | 25 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Bone | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley | 15 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| D. McCray | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Faris | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 26 | - |
| S. Zellous | 31 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 9-10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| M. Coleman | 29 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| N. Howard | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Carter | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Lucas | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter