Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +21 (83-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Perkins | 23 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| B. Hammon | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 21 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Adams | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Christon | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Alexander | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| H. Butler | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Candace Parker | 31 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 30 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| A. Herrington | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 22 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Gruda | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| F. Abdi | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| N. Greene | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter