Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -0.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Schimmel | 36 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 13 | - |
| E. de Souza | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Thompson | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| S. Cash | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 18 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 16 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| I. Orekhova | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Colhado | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Vandersloot | 32 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 31 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| J. Breland | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Young | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 20 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Clements | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Gatling | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Faulkner | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Brandon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter