Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Robinson | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Perkins | 23 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Hammon | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| K. McBride | 20 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Adams | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Alexander | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Christon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| C. Dupree | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter