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2014-05-21

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 38 2-6 1-3 9-9 2 3 0 0 3 14 10 -
Kelsey Griffin * 32 3-7 1-1 0-0 11 1 1 0 2 7 11 -
Allison Hightower * 32 5-11 1-1 1-1 0 1 3 1 0 12 6 -
Chiney Ogwumike * 30 8-17 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 2 2 18 9 -
Alyssa Thomas * 19 3-5 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
Renee Montgomery 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
Alex Bentley 9 1-5 0-1 2-4 1 3 2 0 1 4 4 -
Kelsey Bone 8 0-8 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 -5 -
Danielle McCray 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Kayla Pedersen 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elena Delle Donne * 35 8-18 0-2 5-6 4 2 0 4 1 21 12 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 35 6-9 2-3 4-4 3 7 2 1 2 18 20 -
Tamera Young * 30 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 8 7 -
Jessica Breland * 30 7-10 0-0 0-0 15 2 1 2 1 14 23 -
Sasha Goodlett * 17 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 4 4 4 6 -
Allie Quigley 24 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 9 3 -
Courtney Clements 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
Markeisha Gatling 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Jamierra Faulkner 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Gennifer Brandon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Aaryn Ellenberg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter