Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +3 (90-87). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 40 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 43 | 12-24 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 23 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 41 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas * | 40 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lindsey Moore | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Asia Taylor | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter