Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (81-64). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Temeka Johnson | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Angel Robinson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 23 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota | 17 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Penny Taylor | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Bias | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter