Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (88-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 46 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 44 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 39 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 22 | - |
| E. de Souza | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| I. Orekhova | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Cash | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Howard | 41 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| E. Larkins | 39 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Briann January | 37 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| S. Carter | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Lucas | 19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Zellous | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Hassell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter