Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson | 35 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| S. Johnson | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Adams | 24 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Perkins | 18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Christon | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Alexander | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Whyte | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 34 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| E. de Souza | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Cash | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter