Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | +11.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +16 (82-66). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Borchert * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 25 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| I.J. Ready * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Andre Applewhite * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Fred Thomas | 29 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jacoby Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tevin Moore | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe Smith * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Olekaibe * | 25 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Khem Birch * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Bryce Dejean-Jones * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Smith * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Jelan Kendrick | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Deville Smith | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Christian Wood | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Charles Rushman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter