Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.7% | 13.3% | -10.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -20 (63-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. Harris * | 28 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Gill * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Anderson | 23 | 10-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| M. Tobey | 17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Atkins | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Nolte | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Rogers | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Vozenilek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kirven | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Frazier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Addo | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Ruder * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Gulley * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Williams * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. McCullough * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Mvouika | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Kirk | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Thurman | 13 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| B. Marshall | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Scheer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Simpson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter