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2013-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Barlow * 44 3-8 3-5 0-0 10 4 2 0 2 9 15 -
Kellen Dunham * 42 8-21 4-8 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 20 8 -
Kameron Woods * 38 4-6 0-0 4-4 11 2 1 0 5 12 15 -
Khyle Marshall * 38 5-18 0-1 7-12 9 0 0 1 1 17 8 -
Erik Fromm * 32 2-7 2-7 4-4 4 0 1 0 3 10 5 -
Andrew Chrabascz 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Jackson Aldridge 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Nolan Berry 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnny O'Bryant * 40 8-14 0-0 1-2 8 3 2 0 2 17 14 -
Jordan Mickey * 36 5-10 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 3 1 12 10 -
Anthony Hickey * 32 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 3 3 -
Jarell Martin * 31 5-12 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 1 2 12 7 -
Andre Stringer * 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 2 3 -
Malik Morgan 28 5-11 2-3 0-0 7 2 3 1 3 12 11 -
Shavon Coleman 20 4-6 2-4 2-5 1 1 0 0 0 12 8 -
Tim Quarterman 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter