Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +10 (91-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Portis * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Qualls * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Bell * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Harris * | 23 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| F. Gulley III * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Haydar | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Clarke | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Williams | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Madden | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| M. Wade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pangos * | 39 | 10-15 | 7-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 26 | - |
| D. Stockton * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P. Karnowski * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Dower * | 21 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| K. Dranginis | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Barham | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Meikle | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| G. Coleman | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Bhaskar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Griffin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter