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2013-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 20.3% 79.7% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 68.0% 32.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +10 (91-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Portis * 30 8-14 0-2 2-2 7 1 0 1 1 18 12 -
M. Qualls * 28 5-11 2-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 13 8 -
A. Bell * 28 2-10 2-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 0 -
A. Harris * 23 5-12 0-1 7-8 4 1 2 2 2 17 12 -
F. Gulley III * 18 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Haydar 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Clarke 16 5-8 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
J. Williams 13 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 2 1 -
R. Madden 13 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 3 4 -
M. Kingsley 10 4-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 9 13 -
M. Wade 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 39 10-15 7-8 7-8 3 4 1 0 1 34 26 -
D. Stockton * 33 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 6 2 0 3 4 8 -
P. Karnowski * 25 3-4 0-0 1-3 9 1 0 2 1 7 14 -
G. Bell Jr. * 23 4-8 2-5 3-4 4 2 2 0 1 13 12 -
S. Dower * 21 6-9 1-1 6-7 4 0 0 0 2 19 12 -
K. Dranginis 31 1-6 1-3 0-0 5 6 2 0 2 3 8 -
D. Barham 12 1-3 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. Meikle 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 4 5 -
G. Coleman 6 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
B. Bhaskar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Griffin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter