Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -9 (84-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 34 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Nate Britt * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Joel James * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 32 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Luke Davis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wade Moody | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russ Smith * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 39 | - |
| Chris Jones * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Wayne Blackshear * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Hancock | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Chane Behanan | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Mangok Mathiang | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Ware | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anton Gill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter