Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levi Randolph * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Retin Obasohan * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Trevor Releford * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Cooper * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jimmie Taylor * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Algie Key | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Hale | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carl Engstrom | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Cook * | 40 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Jabari Parker * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Josh Hairston * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Matt Jones | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter