Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwan Scott * | 39 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| A'Torri Shine * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Chandler Thomas * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Terry Rose * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Steven Danridge * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chase Cormier | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Windale Glinton | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tyron Bain | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Richard Freeman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 37 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Strong * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tony Armstrong * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson | 31 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Luther Page | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Billy Ingram | 18 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Graham | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| DeAngelo Stewart | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter