Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevin Hammond * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| DaVon Haynes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Marcel Mosley * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Daniel Broughton * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ghiavonni Robinson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre McIntyre | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaylon Floyd | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chandler Savage | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Tingle | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trent Jeffries | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trent Whiting | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 38 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Maurice Strong * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 24 | - |
| Luther Page * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Graham * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Darius Scott | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter