Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Carter | 37 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| N. Fontaine | 35 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 5 | - |
| S. Justice | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Morrison | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Murphy | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Bennett | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Woody | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -7 | - |
| S. Merder | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Hosea | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Richardson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Clemons | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Houser | 34 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 6 | - |
| A. Wilson | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| C. Moses | 31 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Bays | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Williams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Perry | 12 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| C. Redmon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| H. Hamby | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Massey | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Thornton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Morrissette | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter