Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.1% | 2.9% | -19.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -38 (67-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Schimmel | 27 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Schimmel | 26 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| S. Hammond | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Smith | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Walton | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Taylor | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Niamke | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Gibbs | 13 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. Deines | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Dyer | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| E. Henderson | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morrison | 39 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| S. Justice | 35 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| N. Fontaine | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Woody | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Murphy | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. Merder | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Miller | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Bennett | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Hosea | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Richardson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter