Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 34 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Travis Trice | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Costello | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Craft * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| LaQuinton Ross * | 35 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Sam Thompson * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Amir Williams * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Trey McDonald | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marc Loving | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter