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2014-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% +0.7 โœ— (3.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 โœ— (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.3% 72.7% - โœ—

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (63-66). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tracy Abrams * 36 2-9 2-5 1-2 5 3 1 1 4 7 4 -
Rayvonte Rice * 34 7-16 0-5 1-2 5 1 4 1 2 15 8 -
Kendrick Nunn * 30 4-4 2-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 10 11 -
Nnanna Egwu * 28 5-9 0-0 4-5 6 0 1 1 2 14 11 -
Malcolm Hill * 18 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Jon Ekey 23 4-5 3-4 1-1 6 0 0 0 0 12 13 -
Joseph Bertrand 20 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
Maverick Morgan 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron White * 36 3-6 1-2 5-7 8 0 0 2 3 12 13 -
Mike Gesell * 32 4-13 1-4 2-2 4 5 2 0 0 11 9 -
Devyn Marble * 28 3-11 1-4 1-2 2 4 2 1 1 8 5 -
Adam Woodbury * 20 5-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 11 8 -
Melsahn Basabe * 14 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 1 0 6 8 -
Josh Oglesby 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 3 -
Gabriel Olaseni 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Peter Jok 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Jarrod Uthoff 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Zach McCabe 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
Anthony Clemmons 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter