Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abrams * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Rice * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Nunn * | 30 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Hill * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Ekey | 23 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Morgan | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. White * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Gesell * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Marble * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Woodbury * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Basabe * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Oglesby | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Olaseni | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Jok | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Uthoff | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. McCabe | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Clemmons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter