Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +6.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marble * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Aaron White * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff | 15 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darius Stokes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Peter Jok | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Meyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 35 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 23 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Travis Trice | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Matt Costello | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter