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2014-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 66.3% 33.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% - โœ—
Margin 76.7% 23.3% -6.5 โœ— (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 87.8% 12.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% - โœ—

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Thompson * 34 3-10 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 8 1 -
L. Smith Jr. * 33 2-7 1-6 0-1 6 1 2 0 1 5 6 -
LaQuinton Ross * 33 4-12 0-3 11-13 6 1 0 0 0 19 14 -
Aaron Craft * 19 3-3 1-1 3-3 3 4 0 0 5 10 9 -
Amir Williams * 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
Shannon Scott 28 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 5 2 1 2 3 8 -
Trey McDonald 25 4-6 0-0 1-4 1 0 1 3 0 9 8 -
Amedeo Della Valle 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Marc Loving 6 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Newbill * 38 5-9 2-3 11-12 3 3 1 0 3 23 18 -
T. Frazier * 38 4-12 1-4 7-8 1 2 1 0 6 16 2 -
R. Travis * 25 2-6 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 1 0 4 8 -
J. Dickerson * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 2 4 -
Z. Cooper * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Taylor 32 1-4 1-3 0-1 7 2 0 2 2 3 8 -
D. Jack 20 2-5 0-2 1-1 4 3 0 0 1 5 6 -
G. Thorpe 19 3-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 0 9 9 -
G. Woodward 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Wisniewski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter