Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 39 | 7-17 | 4-13 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 36 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Travis Trice | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caris LeVert * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 37 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jon Horford | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Zak Irvin | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter