Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -15 (79-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 24 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 22 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Keith Appling | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Johnson * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jay Simpson * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Sterling Carter * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Stephens | 31 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Rapheal Davis | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Bryson Scott | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Basil Smotherman | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Errick Peck | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter